
The reason so many companies dispense with strategy during stable periods is not just complacency or success. It’s something more basic and more damaging: a fundamental misunderstanding of what strategy actually is.
In business, strategy is routinely treated as a plan, a roadmap or a commitment to a single coherent line of action. It’s framed as alignment, clarity and focus. Deviations are labeled lack of discipline. Optionality is treated as indecision. This isn’t strategy. It’s execution ideology masquerading as foresight.
Strategy is a statement about how you win
At its core, strategy is not a plan. It’s a statement about how an organization intends to win a specific competitive game. Strategy is always a sentence that looks something like this: “We are going to win the __________.”
The blank is not filled with a tactic. It’s filled with the arena of competition that matters most, the axis on which advantage will be decided and the form of instability the organization intends to exploit or survive.
Cost. Speed. Trust. Scale. Ecosystem control. Talent density. Legitimacy. Adaptability. Time. Until that blank is explicit, there is no strategy — only activity.
Today’s business culture is deeply uncomfortable with uncertainty. As a result, it tends to collapse strategy into a single plumb line: one vision, one roadmap, one narrative of inevitability.
This happens for understandable reasons. Stable systems reward coherence. They reward focus. They reward execution against a known pattern. Under those conditions, multiple strategic options feel inefficient. Hedging looks like waste and optionality like a lack of conviction.
Organizations convince themselves that strategy means choosing one answer and committing fully to it. That belief works — right up until the system changes.
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How stability turns commitment into fragility
The deepest error is confusing strategy with commitment. Commitment is about locking in actions. Strategy is about orienting the organization toward winning in the face of uncertainty. True strategy defines:
- Which dimensions of competition matter.
- Which instabilities are tolerable.
- Which are existential.
- Where the organization will absorb volatility.
- Where it will force others to absorb it.
That orientation can support multiple lines of action at once. In fact, it usually must. When strategy is reduced to a single irreversible plan, the organization becomes brittle. It loses the ability to adapt without losing face, legitimacy or coherence. This is why so many firms respond to change by doubling down rather than reframing. They are protecting commitment, not strategy.
During long periods of stability, this misunderstanding goes undetected. When the environment is forgiving, execution dominates outcomes. The system absorbs error. Strategy, in the true sense, appears unnecessary because the competitive game is not changing.
In that context, declaring a single path forward feels like leadership. Metrics improve. Confidence grows. The organization begins to believe that its success reflects strategic brilliance rather than environmental alignment.
This is how companies optimize themselves into fragility. They haven’t chosen the wrong strategy. They’ve forgotten what strategy is.
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Why strategy survives contact with reality
This is where the contrast with war is instructive. In war, no serious strategist confuses strategy with a single plan. Everyone understands that plans will fail. Conditions will change. Opponents will adapt. Strategy, therefore, is never the plan.
It’s the logic by which plans are chosen, abandoned, recombined and reoriented. War makes this obvious because the cost of rigidity is immediate and fatal. Business hides this truth because stability delays the consequences.
Properly understood, strategy is a theory of how advantage will be created and preserved as conditions evolve. It’s a framework for navigating multiple plausible futures without losing coherence.
This is why the most resilient strategies emphasize optionality over precision, coherence over consistency, learning over prediction and asymmetry over optimization. They are designed to survive contact with reality.
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The irony at the heart of strategy
The great irony is that business demands strategy most loudly when systems are unstable — but systematically destroys strategic capability during stable periods.
By the time instability arrives, organizations have trained themselves to equate strategy with commitment, alignment and narrative certainty. They respond to change with force and speed rather than reframing and reorientation.
What they lack is not intelligence or data. It’s a living understanding of strategy as something other than a plan. If we were forced to offer a more honest definition, it would be this:
- “Strategy is a shared understanding of how we intend to win the game that actually matters, while retaining the ability to change how we play.”
Anything less is execution dressed up as foresight. And anything more rigid is not strategy at all — it is vulnerability deferred.
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